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Showing posts with label obama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label obama. Show all posts

How the IRS plans to get at more of your money (nerd's eye view at kitces.com)

President’s Budget Proposes Elimination Of Backdoor Roth, Stretch IRA, and Step-Up In Basis At Death!


Every February, the President formulates a budget request for the Federal government, which Congress then considers in coming up with its own budget resolution. And while many provisions of the President’s budget pertain to actual recommendations on appropriations for various government agencies, the proposals often include a wide range of potential tax law changes, recorded in the Treasury Greenbook.
Given that this is an election year and already within less than 12 months of the end of President Obama’s term, there is little likelihood that any of the President’s substantive tax changes will actually come to pass, from a version of the so-called “Buffet Rule” (a “Fair Share Tax” for a minimum 30% tax on ultra-high income individuals), an increase in the maximum capital gains rate to 24.2% (which would total 28% including the 3.8% Medicare surtax on net investment income), or a rewind of the estate tax exemption back to the $3.5M threshold from 2009.
However, the President’s budget proposals do provide an indication of what’s “on the radar screen” inside Washington, including a wide range of potential “crackdowns” and “loophole closers” that could appear in legislation (as was the case with the crackdown on Social Security file-and-suspend and restricted-application claiming strategies last year).
And in this context, it’s notable that the President’s budget proposal does include a wide range of potential crackdowns on individuals, from a new cap on the maximum gain to be deferred in a 1031 like-kind exchange of real estate, to the addition of lifetime Required Minimum Distributions for Roth IRAs after age 70 ½, the elimination of stretch IRAs and step-up in basis at death, shutting down the “backdoor Roth contribution” strategy, and more!

“Loophole Closers” And Other Retirement Planning Crackdowns In The Treasury Greenbook

Treasury Greenbook - Treasury Department SealWhen it comes to cracking down on retirement accounts, the President’s budget re-proposes a series of new restrictions and limitations, from killing the so-called “backdoor Roth IRA” to the stretch IRA.
Fortunately, the reality is that all of these crackdowns have appeared in prior proposals, and none have been enacted – which means it’s not necessarily certain that any of them will be implemented this year either, especially given that it is both an election year (which tends to slow the pace of tax legislation), and that there won’t even be any Tax Extenders legislation this December after last year’s permanent fix.
Nonetheless, the proposals provide some indication of what could be on the chopping block, should any legislation happen to be going through Congress that needs a “revenue offset” to cover its cost.
Key provisions that could be changed in the future include:

ELIMINATION OF BACK DOOR ROTH IRA CONTRIBUTIONS

The back door Roth IRA contribution strategy first became feasible in 2010, when the income limits on Roth conversions were first removed. Previously, those with high income could not make a Roth IRA contribution, nor convert a traditional IRA into a Roth. With the new rules, though, it became possible for high-income individuals ineligible to contribute to a Roth IRA to instead contribution to a non-deductible traditional IRA and complete a Roth conversion of those dollars – effectively achieving the goal of a Roth IRA contribution through the “back door”.
Arguably, completing a backdoor Roth IRA contribution was already at risk of IRS challenge if the contribution and subsequent conversion are done in quick succession, but the proposal in the Treasury Greenbook would crack down further by outright limiting a Roth conversion to only the pre-tax portion of an IRA. Thus, a non-deductible (after-tax) contribution to a traditional IRA would no longer be eligible for a Roth conversion at all (nor any existing after-tax dollars in the account).
Notably, a matching provision would apply to limit conversions of after-tax dollars in a 401(k) or other employer retirement plan as well, limiting the “super backdoor Roth” contribution strategy that was made possible by IRS Notice 2014-54.
If enacted, the new rule would simply prevent any new Roth conversions of after-tax dollars after the effective date of the new legislation.

INTRODUCE REQUIRED MINIMUM DISTRIBUTION (RMD) OBLIGATIONS FOR ROTH IRAS

Under the auspices of “simplifying” the required minimum distribution (RMD) rules for retirement accounts, the President’s budget proposal would “harmonize” the RMD rules between Roth and traditional retirement accounts.
This change would both introduce the onset of RMDs for those with Roth IRAs and Roth employer retirement plans upon reaching age 70 ½ (ostensibly the still-employed exception for less-than-5% owners would still apply to employer retirement plans).
Notably, this “harmonization” rule would also prevent any additional contributions to Roth retirement accounts after reaching age 70 ½ (as is the case for traditional IRAs).

ELIMINATION OF STRETCH IRA RULES FOR NON-SPOUSE BENEFICIARIES

First proposed nearly 4 years ago as a revenue offset for highway legislation, and repeated in several Presidential budget proposals since then, the current Treasury Greenbook once again reintroduces the potential for eliminating the stretch IRA.
Technically, the new rule would require that the 5-year rule (where the retirement account must be liquidated by December 31st of the 5th year after death) would become the standard rule for all inherited retirement (including traditional and Roth) accounts. In the case of a retirement account bequeathed to a minor child, the five year rule would not apply until after the child reached the age of majority.
In the case of beneficiaries who are not more than 10 years younger than the original IRA owner, the beneficiary will still be allowed to stretch out required minimum distributions based on the life expectancy of the beneficiary (since the stretch period would not be materially different than the life expectancy of the original IRA owner). A special exception would also allow a life expectancy stretch (regardless of age differences) for a beneficiary who is disabled or chronically ill.

LIMIT NEW IRA CONTRIBUTIONS FOR LARGE RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS (OVER $3.4M)

First introduced in the President’s FY2014 budget, this year’s Treasury Greenbook also re-proposes a rule that would limit any new contributions to retirement accounts once the total account balance across all retirement accounts reaches $3.4M. As long as the end-of-year account balance is above the threshold, no new contributions would be permitted in the subsequent year (though if the account balance dipped below the threshold, contributions would once again become possible, if otherwise permitted in the first place). All account balances across all types of retirement plans (not just IRAs) would be aggregated to determine if the threshold has been reached each year.
The dollar amount threshold is based on the cost to purchase a lifetime joint-and-survivor immediate annuity at age 62 for the maximum defined benefit pension amount of $210,000(which means the dollar amount could change due to both inflation-indexing of this threshold, and also any shifts in annuity costs as interest rates and mortality tables change over time).
Notably, the proposed rule would not force existing dollars out of a retirement account once the threshold has been reached. There are no requirements for distribution to get under the threshold, and the rule explicitly acknowledges continued investment gains could propel the account balance further beyond the $3.4M level. The only limitation is that no newcontributions would be permitted.

REPEAL OF NET UNREALIZED APPRECIATION RULES FOR EMPLOYER STOCK IN AN EMPLOYER RETIREMENT PLAN

In the section of “loophole” closers, the President’s budget proposes (for the second year in a row) to eliminate the so-called “Net Unrealized Appreciation” rules, which allow for employer stock in an employer retirement plan to be distributed in-kind to a taxable account so any of the gains in the stock (the unrealized appreciation) can be sold at capital gains rates.
Characterizing these NUA rules as a “loophole” is ironic, given that the strategy is explicitly permitted under IRC Section 402(e)(4), and has been in existence as an option for employees with holdings in employer stock since the Internal Revenue Code of 1954!
Of course, employee savings habits have changed significantly since the 1950s, as has our understanding of investing and portfolio diversification. The proposed justification for the elimination of NUA is that employer retirement plans now have many other tax preferences, and that at this point the NUA could be an inappropriate incentive for employees to concentrate their investment risks in their employer stock (which further concentrates their risk given that their job is also reliant on the same employer!). The proposal also specifically cites a concern that the NUA benefit may be ‘too’ generous when used with employer stock in an ESOP, which already enjoys other tax preferences.
To ease the transition for those who have already been accumulating employer stock in their retirement plan for many years, the proposal would only apply for those who are younger than age 50 this year (in 2016). Anyone who is already 50-or-older in 2016 would be grandfathered under the existing rules, and retain the right to do an NUA distribution in the future.

Ending GRATs and IDGTs, And Other Estate Planning Crackdowns In The President’s FY2017 Budget Proposal

The President’s budget proposal also includes a number of estate-planning-related crackdowns and loophole closers. As with most of the proposals for changes to retirement accounts, these potential “loophole closers” are not new, but do represent the broadest list yet of areas that the IRS and Treasury wish to target.

ELIMINATION OF THE GRANTOR RETAINED ANNUITY TRUST (GRAT) STRATEGY

The Grantor Retained Annuity Trust (GRAT) is an estate planning strategy where an individual contributes funds into a trust, in exchange for receiving fixed annuity payments back from the trust for a period of time. Any funds remaining in the trust at the end of the time period flow to the beneficiaries.
To minimize current gift tax consequences, the strategy is often done where the grantor agrees to receive a series of annuity payments that are almost equal to the value of the funds that went into the trust – for instance, contributing $1,000,000 and agreeing to receive in exchange payments of $500,000. To the extent any growth above those payments results in extra funds left over at the end, they pass to the beneficiaries without any further gift tax consequences.
In today’s low interest rate environment, this strategy has become extremely popular, because the methodology to determine the size of the gift is based on calculating the present value of the promised annuity payments. The lower the interest rate, the less the discounting, the more the assumed annuity will return to the original grantor, and the small the gift. In some cases, grantors will simply create a series of “rolling” GRATs that run for just 2 years and start over again, just trying over and over again to see if one of them happens to get good investment performance to transfer a significant amount to the next generation tax-free (as the remainder in the trust).
To crack down on the strategy, the President’s budget proposes that the minimum term on a GRAT would be 10 years (which largely eliminates the relevance of rolling GRATs and introduces far more risk to the equation for the grantor). In addition, the rules would require that any GRAT remainder (the amount to which a gift would apply) must be the greater of 25% of the contribution amount, or $500,000, which both increases the size of the GRAT that would be necessary to engage in the strategy and forces the grantor to use a material portion of his/her lifetime gift tax exemption to even try the strategy.
To further eliminate the value of the strategy, the proposal would also require that in any situation where a grantor does a sale or exchange transaction with a grantor trust, that the value of any property that was exchanged into the trust remains in the estate of the grantor – included in his/her estate at death, and subject to gift tax during his/her life when the trust is terminated and distributions are made to a third party. This would likely kill the appeal of the GRAT strategy altogether, as it would cause the remaining value of a GRAT distributed to beneficiaries at the end of its term to still be subject to gift taxes.
Notably, this crackdown on transfers via a sale to a grantor trust would indirectly also eliminate estate planning strategies that involve an installment sale to an intentionally defective grantor trust (IDGT), as the inclusion of the property exchanged into the trust would prevent the grantor from shifting the appreciation outside of his/her estate.

ELIMINATE DYNASTY TRUSTS WITH MAXIMUM 90-YEAR TERM

Historically, common law has prevented the existence of trusts that last “forever”, and most states have a “rule against perpetuities” that limits a trust from extending more than 21 years after the lifetime of the youngest beneficiary alive at the time the trust was created.
However, in recent years, some states have begun to repeal their rules against perpetuities – largely in an effort to attract trust business to their state – and creating the potential of “dynasty” trusts that exist indefinitely for a family, and allow the indefinite avoidance of estate (and generation-skipping) taxes for future generations of the family.
To prevent the further creation of new dynasty trusts, the President’s budget proposal would cause the Generation Skipping Tax exclusion to expire 90 years after the trust was created. As a result, the Generation Skipping Transfer Tax itself could then be applied to subsequent distributions or terminations of the trust, eliminating the ability for subsequent skipping of estate taxes for future generations.
Notably, the proposed rule would only apply to new trusts created after the rule is enacted, and not any existing trusts. However, new contributions to existing trusts would still be subject to the new rules as proposed.

LIMIT TOTAL OF PRESENT INTEREST GIFTS THROUGH CRUMMEY POWERS

IRC Section 2503(b) allows for an annual gift tax exclusion (currently $14,000 per donee in 2016) for gifts that are made every year. However, an important caveat to the rule under IRC Section 2503(b)(1) is that in order to qualify for the exclusion, the gift must be a “present interest” gift to which the beneficiary has an unrestricted right to immediate use.
The present interest gift requirement makes it difficult to use the annual gift tax exclusion for gifts to trusts, as contributing money into a trust that won’t make distributions until the (possibly distant) future means by definition the beneficiary doesn’t have current access to the funds. It’s not a “present interest” gift, and thus cannot enjoy the $14,000 gift tax exclusion.
The classic strategy to work around this rule has been to give the trust beneficiaries an immediate opportunity to withdraw funds as they are first contributed to the trust. The fact that the beneficiary has an immediate withdrawal power ensures that it is a “present interest” gift and eligible for the exclusion. However, the trust is commonly structured to have that beneficiary’s right-to-withdraw lapse after a relatively limited period of time, such that in the short run it’s a present interest gift but in the long run it still accomplishes the goals of the trust. This strategy has been permitted for nearly 50 years, since the famous Crummey Tax Court case first affirmed it was legitimate (such that these present-interest-lapsing powers are often called “Crummey powers”).
However, in recent years a concern has arisen from the IRS is that some trusts had a very large number of Crummey beneficiaries, all of whom would have Crummey powers, such that the donors could gift significant cumulative dollar amounts out of their estate by combining together all the beneficiaries. In some scenarios, there were even concerns that the Crummey beneficiaries had no long-term interest in the trust at all, and were just operating as ‘placeholders’ to leverage gift exclusions. Unfortunately, though, from the IRS’ perspective, the Service has been unable to successfully challenge these in court.
Accordingly, the new proposal would alter the tax code itself to impose limit the total amount of such gifts. The change would be accomplished by actually eliminating the present interest requirement for gifts to qualify for the annual gift tax exclusion, and instead simply allowing a new category of future-interest gifts, but only for a total of $50,000 per year for a donor (regardless of the number of beneficiaries). The new category of gifts would include transfers into trusts, as well as other transfers that have a prohibition on sale, and also transfers of interests in pass-through entities.
Notably, this rule wouldn’t replace the $14,000 annual gift tax exclusion. Instead, it would simply be an additional layer that effectively limits the cumulative number of up-to-$14,000 per-person gifts if they are in one of the new categories (e.g., transfers into trusts). For instance, if four $14,000 gifts were made to four beneficiaries of a trust, for a total of $56,000 of gifts, each $14,000 gift might have individually been permissible, but the last $6,000 would still be a taxable gift (or use a portion of the lifetime gift tax exemption amount) because it exceeds the $50,000 threshold.
It is also notable that since the new category includes “transfers of interests in pass-through entities”, the rule may be used to limit aggressive present-interest gifting of family limited partnership shares across a large number of family members!

Ending Step-Up In Basis And Other Income Tax And Capital Gains Proposed Crackdowns

In addition to the targeted retirement and estate planning crackdowns, it’s notable that the President’s budget proposal includes several additional rules that would impact general income tax strategies, particularly regarding planning for and around capital gains.

ELIMINATION OF STEP-UP IN BASIS, TO BE REPLACED BY A REQUIRED-SALE-AT-DEATH RULE

As a part of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001, Congress repealed the estate tax in 2010, and at the same time repealed the existing rules allowing for a step-up in basis, to be replaced with a rule for “carryover cost basis” from the decedent to the beneficiary.
The problem with carryover cost basis rules at death is that they are extremely problematic to administer. Beneficiaries (and/or the executor) don’t necessarily know what the cost basis was in the first place for many investments, or lose track of it, especially if the property isn’t sold until years later. In practice, step-up in basis at death functions as much as a form of administrative expediency for administering the tax code, as an intended “tax break” at death.
Accordingly, the President’s budget proposes a new way to handle the situation: simply tax all capital gains at death, as though the decedent had liquidated all holdings. The capital gains would be reported on the decedent’s final income tax year, and gains could be offset by any capital losses in that year, and/or any capital loss carryforwards. There would an exclusion for the first $100,000 of capital gains (eliminating any capital gains exposure for the mass of Americans with moderate net worth), in addition to a $250,000 exclusion for any residence. Any household furnishings and personal effects would also be excluded from consideration.
Assets bequeathed to a surviving spouse would still retain a carryover in basis, and any unused capital gains exclusion (the $100,000 amount for general property and the $250,000 for a residence) would be portable and carry over (thus making the exclusions $200,000 and $500,000, respectively, for a married couple, due at the second death of the couple). Any transfers to a charity at death would also not be subject to the capital gain trigger.
To avoid lifetime avoidance of the tax through gifting, the proposal would also eliminate carryover cost basis for gifts, and instead require the same capital-gains-upon-transfer rule for a lifetime gift (again with carryover cost basis applying only for gifts to a spouse or charity).

LIMIT 1031 LIKE-KIND EXCHANGES OF REAL ESTATE TO A $1,000,000 ANNUAL LIMIT

Under IRC Section 1031, investors are permitted to exchange a real estate investment for another “like-kind” piece of real estate, while deferring any capital gains on the transaction. For the purpose of these rules, “like kind” is broadly interpreted, even including the swap of unimproved real estate (i.e., raw land) for improved real estate (e.g., an apartment building) or vice versa.
Congress notes that historically, the rules for like-kind exchanges for real estate (and other illiquid property) were allowed primarily because such property could be difficult to value in the first place, such that it was easier to simply permit the exchange and tax the final transaction later, rather than try to set an appropriate value at the time of the transaction (if the investor wasn’t converting the property to cash anyway).
However, given that property is far more easily valued now than it was decades ago when the 1031 exchange rules were originated, the President’s budget proposes to limit the rule to only $1,000,000 of capital gains that can be deferred in a 1031 exchange in any particular year. Any excess gain above that amount in a particular year would be taxable as a capital gain, as though the property had been sold in a taxable event, with the proceeds separately reinvested.
The proposal would also eliminate the 1031 exchange rules for art and collectibles altogether.

ELIMINATION OF SPECIFIC LOT IDENTIFICATION FOR SECURITIES AND REQUIREMENT TO USE AVERAGE COST BASIS

Under the tax code, investors that hold multiple shares of property can choose which lots are sold. In the case of dissimilar property like multiple lots of real estate, this rule simply recognizes that only the actual lot being sold should be taxed. However, the case is less clear for portfolio investments, where market-traded securities are fungible and “economically indistinguishable” from each other.
Accordingly, the President’s budget proposes to eliminate the specific lot identification method for “portfolio stock” held by investors, along with any ability to choose a FIFO or LIFO default cost basis methodology,  and instead require investors to use average cost basis instead (in the same manner as is done for mutual funds. The rule would only apply to stocks that had been held for more than 12 months, such that they are eligible for long-term capital gains treatment, and would apply to all shares of an identical stock, even if held across multiple accounts or brokerage firms. However, it would only apply to “covered securities” that are subject to cost basis tracking in the first place (generally, any stocks purchased after January 1st of 2011).
Notably, this change was proposed previously in the President’s FY2014 budget as well. Its primary impact would be limiting the ability to “cherry pick” the most favorable share lots to engage in tax-loss harvesting (or 0% capital gains harvesting) from year to year.

APPLY THE 3.8% NET INVESTMENT INCOME MEDICARE SURTAX TO S CORPORATIONS

A long-standing concern of the IRS has been the fact that while pass-through partnerships require partners to report all pass-through income as self-employment income (subject to Social Security and Medicare self-employment taxes), the pass-through income from an S corporation is treated as a dividend not subject to employment taxes. Historically this has allowed high-income S corporation owners to split their income between self-employment-taxable “reasonable compensation” and the remaining income that is passed through as a dividend not subject to the 12.4% Social Security and 2.9% Medicare taxes. (Most commonly though, the strategy “just” avoids the 2.9% Medicare taxes, as reasonable compensation typically is high enough to reach the Social Security wage base anyway.)
Since the onset of the new 3.8% Medicare surtax on net investment income in 2013 (along with a new 0.9% Medicare surtax on upper levels of employment income), the stakes for this tax avoidance strategy have become even higher, as upper income individuals (above $200,000 for individuals or $250,000 for married couples) are now avoiding a 3.8% tax (either in the form of 2.9% Medicare taxes plus the 0.9% surtax on employment income, or the 3.8% tax on investment income).
To curtail the strategy, the President’s budget proposal would automatically subject any pass-through income from a trade or business to the 3.8% Medicare surtax, if it is not otherwise subject to employment taxes. This effectively ensures that the income is either reported as employment income (subject to 2.9% + 0.9% = 3.8% taxes), or is taxed at the 3.8% rate for net investment income instead.
In addition, in the case of professional service businesses (which is broadly defined to include businesses in the fields of health, law, engineering, architecture, accounting, actuarial science, performing arts, or consulting, as defined for qualified personal service corporations under the IRC Section 448(d)(2)(A), as well as athletes, investment advisors/managers, brokers, and lobbyists), the rules would also outright require that S corporation owners who materially participate in the business would be required to treat all pass-through income as self-employment income subject to self-employment taxes (including the 0.9% Medicare surtax as applicable).

NEW SCRUTINY OF LIFE SETTLEMENTS AND LIMITATIONS ON THE TRANSFER-FOR-VALUE RULES

The growth of life settlements transactions in recent years – where a life insurance policyowner sells the policy to a third party, who then keeps the policy ‘as an investment’ until the insured passes away – has brought a growing level of scrutiny to the area.
Under the standard rules for life insurance, IRC Section 101(a)(1) permits a life insurance death benefit to be paid out tax-free to the beneficiary. However, that tax preference is only intended for the original policyowner (who had an insurable interest in the insured), and not necessarily an investor. In fact, IRC Section 101(a)(2) explicitly requires that if a life insurance policy is “transferred for valuable consideration” (i.e., sold) that the death benefits become taxable. Exceptions apply for scenarios where the buyer is the insured (e.g., buying back his/her own policy from a business), or in certain scenarios where the policy is bought by a business or a partner of the business.
From the perspective of the IRS, the primary concern is that some life settlement investors may be evading these rules by forming “business” entities where they can be a partner of the insured (even if the insured just becomes a 0.1% owner), just to buy the policy in a tax-free context.
Accordingly, the President’s budget proposal would modify the transfer-for-value rules by requiring that the insured be (at least) a 20% owner of the business, in order to avoid having minimal partners added just to avoid the standard life settlements tax treatment.
In addition, the new rules would require that, for any insurance policy with a death benefit exceeding $500,000, that details of the life settlements purchase – including the buyer’s and seller’s tax identification numbers, the issuer and policy number, and the purchase price – be reported both to the insurance company that issued the policy, the seller, and the IRS so the Service can track life settlements policies. In addition, upon death of the insured, the insurance company would now be required to issue a reporting form for the buyer’s estimate cost basis and the death benefit payment, along with the buyer’s tax identification number, to the IRS so the Service can ensure (and potentially audit) that the gain was reported appropriately. (For those who actually do report life settlements gains properly, this part of the new rule would have no impact, beyond just confirming what was already reported.)

Silver Linings In The President’s FY2017 Budget Proposals

Notwithstanding all the looming “crackdowns”, it’s important to note that not everything in the Treasury Greenbook is “negative” when it comes to financial planning. There are some silver linings. Favorable provisions include:
– Elimination of Required Minimum Distribution obligations for those with less than $100,000 in retirement accounts upon reaching age 70 1/2
– Marriage penalty relief in the form of a new up-to-$500 two-earner tax credit
– Consolidation of the Lifetime Learning Credit and Student Loan Interest Deduction into a further expanded American Opportunity Tax Credit
– Expansion of the exceptions to the IRA early withdrawal penalty to include living expenses for the long-term unemployed
– Ability to complete an inherited IRA 60-day rollover
– Expansion of automatic enrollment of IRAs and multi-employer small business retirement plans
Of course, as with the proposed loophole closers, these silver lining proposals aren’t likely to see implementation in 2016 either. Nonetheless, they form the basis for potential points of change and compromise for tax reform in 2017… which means it’s not likely the last time you’ll be hearing about these potential changes either!

Tax Moves You Must Make Before the End of the Year (Accounting Today)

Taxes Going Up- Obama Victory means you need to act now

November 12, 2012


By Margaret Collins


(Bloomberg) The race is on for wealthy Americans to save on taxes before January 1.

 
President Barack Obama’s re-election means his administration will push to let tax cuts enacted during the George W. Bush era expire for high earners, as scheduled, at year-end. Obama wants to increase the top federal income tax rate to 39.6 percent from 35 percent, boost rates on long-term capital gains to as much as 23.8 percent, and shrink exemptions from estate-and-gift taxes.
“If you have to put a movie title on what’s going to happen from now until the end of the year it would be: ‘The Fast and the Furious,’” said Jeff Saccacio, a personal financial services partner at New York-based PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. “The wise, smart people are preparing themselves for a sunset of the Bush tax cuts.”
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Wealthy investors have about a month and a half to examine their investment gains and losses left over from previous years, as well as to consider ways to move income into 2012 and transfer assets to heirs, Saccacio said. Now is the time to start running the calculations, he said.
“Acceleration of investment income is clear,” said Elda Di Re, partner and personal financial services area leader for Ernst & Young LLP in New York. “If anyone was planning on realizing a gain in the next two to three years on either securities or real estate, there’s a considerable amount of money to be saved.”
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, which is up 64 percent since Obama took office in 2009, lost 2.4 percent yesterday to 1,394.53, its lowest level since August.
Capital Gains
An investor who sells $100 of stock with a cost basis of $20 in 2012 would see proceeds—after capital gains taxes—of $88, according to an analysis by J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Next year, if Congress doesn’t act, earnings from the sale would drop to $80.96 if rates rise to 23.8 percent. That means the stock price would need to rise by at least 9 percent for an investor to be better off selling in 2013.
Investors shouldn’t accelerate sales of securities just to avoid a higher tax rate, said Saccacio, who is based in Los Angeles. They should consider how long they planned to hold stocks and whether they need to rebalance. Those who decide to sell at current capital gains rates can re-invest in the securities if they remain attractive without violating so-called wash-sale rules under the Internal Revenue Service code that apply to stocks sold at a loss, he said.
Bonuses, Dividends
Closely held businesses that have a choice to pay bonuses or dividends in 2012 or 2013 should do so before year-end, said Joanne E. Johnson, wealth adviser and managing director at New York-based JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s private bank unit. The tax rate on dividends may jump to as much as 43.4 percent next year from 15 percent now with the expiration of Bush-era tax cuts and levies set to take effect from the health-care law.
Employees who have a choice to receive their bonus this year should do so and consider exercising stock options that are set to expire, she said.
While the election provided some clarity, wealthy taxpayers still must be prepared for the unexpected before Dec. 31, Johnson said. “We don’t know what the compromises are going to be,” she said.
Fiscal Cliff
Democrats maintained control of the U.S. Senate in the election results last week as Republicans kept their majority in the House of Representatives. That ensures continued resistance to Obama’s determination to raise taxes for the wealthiest Americans in the effort to reduce the U.S. budget deficit.
Lawmakers may have to address the so-called fiscal cliff of tax increases and spending cuts that would start in January if Congress doesn’t act in a lame-duck session set to begin this month.
House Speaker John Boehner told reporters last week that Republicans are “willing to accept new revenue under the right conditions.” He cited ideas Democrats already have rejected: restructuring entitlement programs and relying on revenue generated by economic growth from a tax-code overhaul.
Some tax-rate increases scheduled to take effect next year don’t depend on fiscal-cliff negotiations, said Di Re of Ernst & Young. The 2010 health-care law, which Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney had vowed to repeal, applies a 3.8 percent surtax on unearned income such as realized capital gains, dividends and interest in 2013 for married couples making more than $250,000 and individuals earning at least $200,000.
Payroll TaxThe law also increases the Medicare payroll tax levied on wages by 0.9 percentage points for high earners.
Wealthy taxpayers with large carryover losses remaining from 2008 and 2009 may not want to rush to sell securities before year-end, Saccacio said. They may have enough losses to offset future gains even with higher tax rates, he said.
When capital losses exceed gains, the extra generally can be deducted on individuals’ tax returns and used to reduce other income, such as wages, up to an annual limit of $3,000, according to the IRS. If the total loss is more than the cap, the unused portion may be carried over to following years.
The Obama victory also may lead some millionaires who were hesitating to take advantage of current rules on gifts to fund trusts they’ve set up, said Linda Beerman, manager of the wealth strategies group at Atlantic Trust. The firm is the private wealth-management unit of Atlanta-based Invesco Ltd.
Estate Tax
Legislation enacted in 2010 raised the lifetime estate-and- gift-tax exclusion for 2011 and 2012. This year individuals can transfer up to $5.12 million—or $10.24 million for married couples—free of estate and gift taxes. Those levels are scheduled to expire at the end of 2012 and Obama wants to set the estate tax threshold at $3.5 million while dropping the gift-tax exemption to $1 million as it was in 2009.
“People are really rushing here at the end to take advantage of it,” Beerman said.
Wealthy families should consider setting up trusts under current rules that can benefit grandchildren or future generations and set them up in states such as Delaware, which let the entities exist in perpetuity, said Johnson of JPMorgan. The Obama administration has proposed curtailing the benefits of such trusts as well as limiting discounts taken when transferring illiquid assets in its most recent budget proposal.
Decisions about making charitable contributions this year are more complicated, Beerman said. While deductions for donations probably will be more valuable next year if rates are higher, limits on itemized deductions for those with higher incomes are scheduled to be reinstated next year, she said.
“They need to start crunching some numbers,” PwC’s Saccacio said of wealthy taxpayers. “This year, year-end tax planning takes on a heightened significance given the fact that we’re going to have this jump in rates next year unless we have an 11th-hour adjustment.”

When is the GM IPO? After the Election (WSJ)

Official White House Briefing: "Fact Sheet on Obama Administration Restructuring of General Motors"

Treasury Provides Further Guidance on GM IPO

AUTOS SEPTEMBER 21, 2010

China's SAIC Expresses Interest in Buying GM Stake


By SHARON TERLEP
DETROIT—Interest by China's biggest auto maker in possibly buying a stake in General Motors Co. this fall raises the dicey issue for the U.S. government over foreign investment in the Detroit company.

SAIC Motor Corp., which has built cars with GM in China since the 1990s, hasn't decided whether to participate in GM's initial public offering but has expressed an interest in doing so, people familiar with the matter said.

GM declined to comment about SAIC. The Chinese auto maker said only that it is closely watching the GM offering. SAIC's interest was first reported by Reuters news service.

The issue of foreign investors buying GM shares in the company's IPO is a thorny one for the U.S. government, which is eager to unload its 61% stake in the auto maker.

The Treasury is likely to seek out large institutional investors to buy blocks of GM stock at a set price. Such "cornerstone" investors typically commit to holding their stock as a show of confidence, which can help draw other investors. In exchange, cornerstone investors sometimes get a favorable deal on the shares. Several U.S. investors have expressed an interest in buying a stake in GM, including potential cornerstone investors, according to a person familiar with the situation.

The larger the group of cornerstone investors, the easier it would be for the Treasury to sell a big chunk of its GM stake in the IPO. GM and the banks underwriting the deal are pushing for the biggest possible investor pool to increase the size of the offering. The IPO will likely involve shares held by the Treasury, a union-managed retiree trust fund and Canadian governments.

But the Treasury also is worried about the political reaction if non-U.S. investors, such as sovereign-wealth funds or a Chinese company, are allowed to acquire a significant stake in GM after U.S. taxpayers spent $50 billion to assist the company through bankruptcy reorganization.

"Critics will publicly blast the Obama administration for using taxpayer money to fund foreign ownership in an American icon," said Morningstar automotive equities analyst David Whiston. Yet restricting foreigners from buying stock in the IPO would be impractical since the shares would be available on the public market, he said.

Indeed, the Treasury, in an effort to maximize the share price and establish a solid shareholder base, said last week that all investors will have access to GM shares. The statement also said, however, that no single investor or group of investors would receive "a disproportionate share or unusual treatment."

GM plans to begin pitching the IPO to investors immediately after the Nov. 2 midterm elections, which could keep the IPO separate from campaign politics. The goal is to conduct the offering before the end of the month. GM Chief Executive Dan Akerson said last week that it will likely take years for the U.S. government to unload its entire stake.

Mr. Akerson, who took over as CEO Sept. 1, has been more pragmatic about the IPO than was his predecessor Edward E. Whitacre Jr., who pushed the Treasury to unload as many shares as possible as quickly as possible. In contrast, Mr. Akerson last week acknowledged the importance of Treasury getting the best possible share price, even if means the government continues to hold some shares for some time.

China's auto market, the world's biggest, is a key source of strength for GM.

The auto maker's sales in China rose 19% in August from a year earlier while the U.S. and European markets struggled. The auto maker's partnership with SAIC has been central to GM's success in China and is expected to continue to play a major role.

Such joint ventures also are an important platform to reaching other fast-growing, emerging markets. GM and SAIC are teaming to expand in India, for example.

Write to Sharon Terlep at sharon.terlep@wsj.com

Obamacare Alert - Insurance Changes This Week ( State of Florida)

Insurance Consumer Advocate Urges Floridians To Learn About Health Insurance Reforms That Take Effect Sept. 23

Terry Butler, Interim Insurance Consumer Advocate

Many consumers have been confused about or unsure as to when many of the reforms in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) will take effect. Some of the reforms do not take effect until 2014 or even later. However, on Thursday, September 23, 2010, many very important PPACA provisions will go into effect and the Office of Insurance Consumer Advocate urges Floridians to be aware of and take advantage of the changes.
The most important changes will ensure that consumers are able to retain coverage and remain covered regardless of their circumstances. While the following provisions take effect next week, some policyholders may not be able to take advantage of all of these new provisions until policy renewal, which for many employees in group plans is in January.

The benefits that will be effective on September 23, 2010, are as follows:

Currently, most health insurance policies have provisions stating that the maximum the insurer will pay during the life of the policy is $1 million or maybe $2 million. In addition, they have a maximum the insurer will pay in any calendar year, usually around $250,000. As of this Thursday, insurers will be prohibited from limiting the amount they will pay over the lifetime of the policy. However, until 2014, plans will still be allowed to have an annual limit on coverage payments.

All health plans will be prohibited from dropping consumers from coverage just because they get sick.

Children under the age of 19 with pre-existing medical conditions will no longer be denied coverage by employer plans or new plans in the individual market because of their pre-existing condition.

New private plans will be required to cover preventative services and neither copayments nor deductibles will apply to the cost of these services.

All new plans will have to provide consumers with two levels of appeal when the plan denies payment for medical services. The first level would be a review by the plan itself. The second level would be an independent review process in which an outside group of medical experts review the claim to determine whether the plan followed its own rules in denying the claim.

Employer health plans will be prohibited from establishing any eligibility rules for health care coverage that have the effect of discrimination in favor of higher wage employees.

Health plans will be required to allow young people to remain on the parents’ health plans up to their 26th birthday, provided that they do not have access to coverage on their own plan.

Consumers will have more freedom of choice in the selection of their physicians.
Consumers should contact their insurer or their employers’ benefit administrator to obtain any additional information regarding changes to their specific policy.

As more information is available and additional changes become effective, the Office of the Insurance Consumer Advocate will generate advisories regarding their effect on consumers. More information regarding the PPACA can be found on the website of the Insurance Consumer Advocate at http://www.myfloridacfo.com/ica/federalhealthcare.asp.

The Insurance Consumer Advocate is appointed by Florida CFO Alex Sink and is committed to finding solutions to insurance issues facing Floridians, calling attention to questionable insurance practices, promoting a viable insurance market responsive to the needs of Florida’s diverse population and assuring that rates are fair and justified.

The GM IPO (Businessweek, Reuters, Barrons)

Barron's Cover | SATURDAY, AUGUST 21, 2010
Who's Driving?
By ANDREW BARY


Speculation on the new GM: IPO Price, What old GM Bondholders Might Get

"....The way for investors to play the new General Motors is through the debt of the old GM. Valuing that $27 billion (face amount) of debt isn't simple because the bonds are entitled to 50 million GM shares and two issues of warrants to buy more. The warrants, each involving 45.5 million shares, have strike prices of $30 and $55 and aren't easy to value. And there's an additional wrinkle: Bondholders aren't the only creditors entitled to the stock and warrants. There may be at least $37 billion of total claims allowed by the bankruptcy court, GM said in its IPO prospectus. This means that the stock and warrants will be apportioned to a larger group of creditors than just bondholders...."



GM plans to file for IPO during week of August 16: sources
Fri, Jul 23 2010
By Clare Baldwin and Soyoung Kim

NEW YORK/DETROIT (Reuters) - General Motors Co plans to file its registration for an initial public offering during the week of August 16, just after the expected date for its second quarter results, according to two people with direct knowledge of the preparations.

A GM filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would be the first step toward an IPO to reduce the U.S. government's ownership in the automaker after a $50 billion bailout in 2009.
By filing with the SEC in August, GM is aiming to complete its IPO before the November U.S. elections, according to the sources, who asked not to be named because the closed-door preparations remain confidential.

GM also remains in talks with Bank of America Corp , JPMorgan Chase & Co , and Wells Fargo & Co for dealer and consumer financing for more credit-worthy borrowers, one of the sources said.

One concern for potential investors has been whether GM dealers and potential car buyers have the same kind of access to financing as competitors with in-house financing operations like Ford Motor Co .

General Motors on Thursday said it would buy auto finance company AmeriCredit Corp for $3.5 billion in cash to form what it called the "core" of a captive finance operation. The move marks a reversal of the position GM took when it sold control of its former in-house financing arm GMAC in 2006.

Any additional financing partnership agreement GM reaches would be complementary to the AmeriCredit transaction, one of the sources said. Many GM dealers have complained that lack of consumer financing has cost them sales.

An IPO for the U.S. automaker, which was restructured in bankruptcy last year, would be the biggest U.S. stock offering since Visa Inc's $19.7 billion March 2008 IPO and one of the biggest IPOs of all time.

GM's second-quarter earnings report is expected to show the automaker generated cash for a second consecutive earnings period, according to one of the sources.

GM Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell told CNBC on Thursday that the automaker would report results in about three weeks.

GM spokeswoman Renee Rashid-Merem told Reuters on Thursday the automaker would report second quarter results in mid-August.

"Beyond that, we aren't commenting on matters relating to an IPO. We will launch an IPO when the conditions are right and the company is ready," she said.

U.S. officials have said repeatedly that GM's board of directors have a free hand to run the company to try to improve the return for taxpayers.

The automaker posted its first quarterly profit since 2007 in the first quarter. In the June-ended quarter, industry-wide U.S. auto sales were above 11 million vehicles on an annualized and adjusted basis.

But GM's lower cost structure coming out of bankruptcy has allowed the automaker to break even with industry-wide U.S. sales as low as about 10.5 million vehicles, the sources said.

UAW, CANADA SALES PROPORTIONAL

GM's biggest shareholder is the U.S. Treasury, which owns nearly 61 percent of the automaker. The Treasury is expected to sell between 20 and 24 percent of its stake, sources said earlier this month.

The United Auto Workers healthcare trust, which owns 17.5 percent of GM, and the governments of Canada and Ontario, which own 11.7 percent, are expected to sell the same share of their holdings as the U.S. government, one of the sources said on Thursday.

GM, which is not expected to pay dividends on its newly-issued common stock, also plans to sell $3 billion worth of mandatory convertible securities, a source said earlier this month.

The U.S. automaker also is in the process of finalizing a $5 billion revolving credit line, several sources have said.

(Reporting by Clare Baldwin in New York and Soyoung Kim in Detroit, additional reporting by Kevin Krolicki in Detroit; editing by Carol Bishopric





Politics & Policy July 15, 2010, 5:00PM EST
GM's IPO May Require Hefty Incentives
The sales pitch will need hope, contrition, and smooth talking


By Roben Farzad, David Welch and Jeff Green

The initial public offering of recently bankrupt and nationalized General Motors looks to be one of the trickiest deals in memory.

True, the still-enormous carmaker has shed billions in liabilities and legacy costs in its "quick-rinse" 39-day bankruptcy. After a federal rescue, GM is again profitable, and its vehicles are selling briskly in the U.S. and China. Yes, the Treasury Dept., which extended close to $50 billion of aid to the behemoth last year, is a motivated seller, eager to prove the bailout a success in an election year in which many voters say bailouts wasted their money. "The initial public offering will be a significant step in carrying out Treasury's previously announced intention of disposing of TARP investments as soon as practicable," states a Treasury memo on the deal, not yet scheduled but widely expected before the November elections.

The Wall Street underwriters, likely to be Morgan Stanley (MS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), are so keen to participate that they are accepting a 75 percent discount on their fees, says one person briefed on the matter. Various estimates peg the flotation, including about 20 percent of the government's 61 percent stake, at $12 billion, which would make it the second-largest in a decade, after Visa's (V) $19.7 billion deal in 2008. And do not underestimate GM Chief Executive Ed Whitacre's resolve. "The new management team desperately wants to feel like a legitimate company again," says Steve Dyer of Craig-Hallum Capital Group, a Minneapolis-based trading and research shop. "That can only happen if they get rid of the perception that they're still reliant on the government."

All great, save for one thing: It's not clear that investors are pining to buy GM 2.0. This could be an IPO unlike any other, and not only because Uncle Sam is hawking the shares. The main selling point will not be a quick return on investment. Instead, it will be that GM's limited record of success—the company just reported its first quarterly profit since 2007—is only the beginning. Throw in contrition and appeals to hope and patriotism, and GM just might have a successful offering.

Job No. 1 is restoring "Government Motors" to a staple investment for institutional shareholders. That means convincing investors it can consistently make a profit in a leaner car-selling market. There's no getting around the reality, though, that GM has a ways to go before it wins over the car-buying public. In an April Consumer Reports study of reliability among 15 automakers, GM scored second to last. GM has shed the Hummer, Pontiac, Saab, and Saturn brands and now consists of Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, and GMC.

Then there's the let-bygones-be-bygones part of the IPO sales pitch: GM must persuade investors burned by the government takeover and unconventional bankruptcy to buy its shares again. That might require mediation by the U.N. after a bankruptcy proceeding in which the United Auto Workers union received more of the newly issued stock than some bondholders—a rearranging of the stakeholder pecking order that would not have happened in a traditional court-managed filing. "GM and Treasury will pay a price for that," says Maryann Keller, a veteran auto industry analyst who advises large investors. "Three words," says William Smith of New York-based Smith Asset Management, a former holder of GM's old shares: "Smoke and mirrors." He calls the preference given to the UAW in the bankruptcy "dirty pool," something "unprecedented in a democratic country with bankruptcy rules."
Even after its restructuring, GM has a troubling pension burden. Its retirement plan is underfunded by $26.8 billion. While the company doesn't have to make a payment for three years, at some point more money will have to go into the plan.

There are other questions: The reception for GM's much anticipated all-electric Volt, which the company says it will roll out at the end of next year, is uncertain. So is GM's plan to fix its European operations, which lost $506 million in the first quarter. Another unknown is what kind of auto market GM needs to stay in the black. The sales levels of 16 million to 17 million cars a year that once prevailed? Or the present 11 million?

Keller argues that demand has been reset downward because of lagging personal income, fading consumer confidence, and the end of easy credit. Detroit, she notes, has spent the past four decades extending the typical car loan from two years to five or six, to reduce monthly payments and get more units out the door. Now, she says, "we're really at the limit of what you can do with creative auto financing." GM's lack of a dedicated finance arm could also be a problem. "GM will launch an IPO when the conditions are right and the company is ready," says spokeswoman Nina Price, declining further comment.

Perhaps the strongest case for a resurrected GM stock is that many fund managers will have no choice. What was too big to fail a year ago remains too big to ignore in current investing terms. Ford (F), which is the only other remnant of the Big Three available to investors, is the 53rd-largest component in the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index, according to Bloomberg data. GM, which is now probably worth more than Ford's $40 billion valuation, would almost certainly be restored to the S&P 500, the preferred benchmark for mutual funds. "Most fund managers need and want exposure to the space," says Craig-Hallum's Dyer.

The underwriters have a tricky assignment: Unless the stock market ultimately values the 102-year-old automaker at a truly impressive $80 billion, taxpayers will not break even. With confidence flagging in the overall economic rebound and the auto industry's wobbliness in recent months, "the risk remains high that an IPO in this environment is unlikely to generate the best returns for the taxpayers," writes Bill Visnic, a senior editor at Edmunds' AutoObserver.com. As any good dealer will admit, you need heavy incentives and smooth talking to move a rebuilt car off the lot.

The bottom line: Despite a shaky economy, the White House is eager to refloat General Motors after its government takeover and bankruptcy.

Bloomberg Businessweek Senior Writer Farzad covers Wall Street and international finance. Welch is Bloomberg Businessweek's Detroit bureau chief. Green is a reporter for Bloomberg News .

What's in Your Retirement Account? NY Times on Dividend Stocks

June 16, 2010
Dividends Like BP’s Look Safe, Until They’re Not
By RON LIEBER

If you own BP shares and rely on the dividends for your retirement income, you now matter less than shrimp boat owners and tourism workers in the Gulf of Mexico. That’s the net result of the announcement on Wednesday that BP will suspend its dividend and set aside money for cleanup costs and the compensation of workers who have lost income because of the oil spill.

Whether the federal government was right to pressure BP to make this move (and whether BP should have buckled) is a question for the ages. But if you’re an investor in BP and rely on dividend income to pay your daily expenses, this should serve as another reminder that relying on one stock or even a handful of stocks is incredibly risky.

We’ve seen this movie before. Wachovia disappeared, hobbling many investors who counted on its dividends. Other big banks reduced their payouts drastically in the depths of the financial crisis. General Electric slashed its dividend as well.

This should have been a warning for anyone making big retirement bets on a single stock or a handful of stocks. Things that seem stable can wobble and collapse before our very eyes. And now it’s happening again.

It’s not supposed to work this way, at least in the minds of the many investors of the old school. To them, a stock that pays a dividend is a stock that is safe. “It told them that a company was still around and operating, it was in good health,” said Milo M. Benningfield, a San Francisco financial planner.

Just because a company pays a dividend now is no guarantee that it will forever, or that the company will even continue to exist. Nor is it any guarantee that the underlying stock is stable.

Still, plenty of people strap on the blinders and maintain their faith in the stocks they think they know well. A frightening article in the trade newspaper Pensions & Investments on Monday estimated that BP employees and others in the company’s 401(k) plan had lost more than $1 billion from the stock’s decline in the wake of the spill.

How can the loss be so high? Well, 29 percent of the plan’s assets were invested in BP stock as of last September. This, sadly, is yet another violation of the too-many-eggs-in-one-basket rule that company plan sponsors should have had inscribed in stone for employees — even before the Enron collapse and the resulting devastation in employee retirement accounts there.

Employees or retired employees are not alone. Devotees of white-hot companies (Apple comes to mind) simply refuse to believe that anything bad could befall the stock. Retirees reliant on dividend income may be averse to change if a stock has paid out regularly for decades. Others may have inherited a big slug of stock and may simply not know any better. Then there are those who are so tax-averse that they won’t diversify their holdings because they don’t want to give up some of their winnings to capital gains taxes.

If you know people who might fall into these categories, please do them a favor and send them to a financial planner post-haste if you can’t talk some sense into them yourself.

Or you could simply try to scare them. Very few people saw a spill of this magnitude coming, just as only a small number could have predicted a few years back that financial stocks would go from contributing 29 percent of the dividend payments of S.& P. 500 payments in 2007 to just 9 percent in 2009.

Today, consumer staples stocks contribute more than any other sector, according to Howard Silverblatt of S.& P. How might that sector or parts of it deteriorate? A prolonged terrorist campaign against large American retailers could begin, or a blight could emerge that wipes out a large percentage of the nation’s crops.

These things are unlikely but entirely possible, and they wouldn’t be a total surprise. Tempted by utilities? Mr. Benningfield suggested contemplating the remote possibility of solar flares frying the power grid.

As of Wednesday, there is now political risk to consider, too. Now that there is a recent precedent, legislators could again try to bully a company into suspending its dividends.

And if that weren’t worry enough for dividend fans, we must also rely on those same legislators to sort out our tax policy. Currently, no one pays more than a 15 percent federal tax on dividend income. If Congress does not act before the end of the year, however, investors will start paying much higher ordinary income tax rates on dividends come 2011. “Where it will wind up, no one knows,” said Kenneth L. Powell, a tax partner at the accounting firm Berdon L.L.P. in New York. Wealthier investors, meanwhile, may pay even more once a 3.8 percent Medicare tax on unearned income begins in 2013.
Everyone needs income in retirement, and dividends aren’t a bad way to get it as long as they don’t come from a single company. Again and again, we’ve seen out-of-nowhere scandals and crises and accidents bring big companies to their knees. Why, given the overwhelming evidence that these things do happen once in a while, would you not extract your dividend income from a low-cost, broadly diversified mutual fund that specializes in dividends?

The moral of the story, as always, is to diversify within each asset class you own, whether it’s dividend-paying stocks or municipal bonds or the emerging-market countries where you’re rolling the dice for big gains. Then, diversify your retirement income, too. The more sources the better, whether it’s dividend income, interest income, annuity income, rental income or periodic (and tax-savvy) outright sales of stocks or other assets.

Even this sort of diversification might not have protected you from the pain in 2008. But it can shield you from the ruin of betting too heavily on a single security like BP.

How to Send an Email to President Obama

Contact the White House
President Obama is committed to creating the most open and accessible administration in American history. To send questions, comments, concerns, or well-wishes to the President or his staff, please use the form at
http://www.whitehouse.gov/CONTACT/

When is the GM IPO? (Wall St Journal)

The Big Guns Coming Out for GM Deal

By RANDALL SMITH And SHARON TERLEP

Wall Street bankers are salivating over one of their biggest potential paydays since the market meltdown of 2008: the planned initial public offering of General Motors Co.

With a size that may top $10 billion, the GM IPO could generate fees of $275 million or more for the Wall Street underwriters, the most fees from a single stock deal since the $19.7 billion IPO of credit-card giant Visa in March 2008 generated $550 million.

Some Wall Street bankers said they expect the GM initial public offering will be led by just two firms, who would typically command the lion's share of the fees.Above, GM's world headquarters in Detroit.
All of which explains why top officials of several major financial giants personally participated in what is known on Wall Street as a "bake-off," a series of meetings in which the bankers present their best ideas for how to sell the stock.

James Dimon of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., John Mack of Morgan Stanley and Brian Moynihan of Bank of America Corp. all personally took part in the meetings with officials of both GM and the U.S. Treasury Department, which acquired its current 61% stake in a $50 billion bailout last year.

Vikram Pandit of Citigroup Inc., who was visiting Citi offices in Mexico, took part by phone. Although Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs Group was in London, Goldman's president, Gary Cohn, attended, along with David Solomon, the firm's co-head of investment banking.

Other firms sent some of their best-known personalities as well. For example, Mr. Dimon attended with James B. Lee, the well-known top deal maker at J.P. Morgan. The Citi delegation also included John Havens, head of Citi's institutional-clients group, and Tyler Dickson, the firm's head of global capital-markets origination. The bake-off meetings were previously reported by Fox Business.

Before the bake-off pitches, the Wall Street firms were sent questionnaires asking how they have supported GM in the past, according to one person told of the meetings.

Some Wall Street bankers said they expect the GM deal will be led by just two firms, who would typically command the lion's share of the fees. Firms with armies of retail brokers such as Morgan Stanley and Bank of America, which has brokers from Merrill Lynch, could have an advantage. Another firm with an edge is J.P. Morgan, which has been the biggest lender to the auto industry over the past decade, one person said.

Although the value of GM's former common stock was vaporized in its visit to bankruptcy court last year, the No. 1 U.S. auto maker by sales has been able to slash its debt from $45.9 billion at the end of 2008 to less than $10 billion currently.

It isn't clear yet to what extent GM's other shareholders will sell stock in the offering. They include a union trust for retired auto workers, which holds 18%, the Canadian government, which owns 12%, and former debt holders who own 10%.
Some Wall Street analysts estimate GM's market value could top that of Ford at $41 billion and even exceed $70 billion, the level needed for the U.S. government to break even on its investment. That would top GM's peak market value of $60 billion in 1999, when both the stock market and sales of high-profit sport-utility vehicles were booming. Two months ago, J.P. Morgan Chase debt analyst Eric Selle put GM's stock-market value at $90 billion. By comparison, the market value of Toyota is $116 billion.

The Obama administration has said it is hopeful GM can make an offering by the end of this year and is eager to shed its stake in the company, though the auto maker and the Treasury have stressed that the timing is up to GM.

The company doesn't want to rush the offering and would prefer to address some issues—namely its lack of a company-run finance arm and losses in Europe, the site of clashes with labor and state governments over layoff plans—said people with direct knowledge of the company's strategy.

The IPO pickings have been slim for Wall Street ever since the Visa deal. After peaking at $55.3 billion in 2007, the volume of U.S. IPOs tumbled 70% to $16.7 billion last year, Dealogic said. The biggest U.S. IPO since Visa was just $2.2 billion, Verisk Analytics from last October.

The U.S. Treasury recently chose Lazard Ltd. to advise on the IPO. Among those playing a lead role in the underwriter selection are the Treasury's "car czar," Ron Bloom, himself a Lazard banker in the 1980s, and GM Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell, an alumnus of software giant Microsoft Corp.

In its most recent financial report, GM showed a profit of $863 million in the first quarter of 2010, compared with a $6 billion loss a year earlier, marking the auto maker's first profitable quarter since 2007. Revenue grew 40% to $31.5 billion, and the company generated $1 billion in cash.

GM has cut its costs in the past few years. Deutsche Bank analyst Rod Lache estimates GM cut fixed costs in North America to $20 billion from $40 billion in 2008. He says the recent results show "these guys are building momentum and they have a lot of positives happening."

Earlier in the decade, the auto maker needed U.S. sales to reach 16 million to 17 million annually to make money. Today, GM says it can be profitable in the U.S. market with 10.5 million sales; analysts expect 11.5 million this year. Because bankruptcy slashed GM's debt, interest costs fell to $337 million in the first quarter, less than one-third the former level. Shifting retiree health costs to a union trust fund and other changes to retirement benefits reduced annual costs by another $3 billion.

Write to Randall Smith at randall.smith@wsj.com and Sharon Terlep at sharon.terlep@wsj.com