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Showing posts with label health care. Show all posts
Showing posts with label health care. Show all posts

What NOT To Do When You Retire ( U S News )

New Retirees: Avoid These Mistakes

Don’t make these errors when transitioning into retirement

September 24, 2012 
Happy retired couple
It can be difficult to know when you are truly ready to retire. Even if you are relatively certain you have enough savings to last the rest of your life, there is still plenty that could go wrong. Here are some potential mistakes to avoid as you transition into retirement:
Moving to a place where you don't know anyone. Once you're no longer tied to a job, it's tempting to move to a location with better weather or more fun things to do. In some cases, you can even significantly reduce your retirement expenses by moving to a place with more affordable housing and a lower cost of living. But moving away from your friends and family and your support system of associates, including everything from a great dentist to a car mechanic you can trust, can be detrimental to your retirement. It's difficult to start from scratch and can take years to build a network of people who can help when you need it.


Quitting before you are vested in your retirement plan. You may not get to keep all of your employer's 401(k) contributions, stock options, or qualify for traditional pension payouts until you are fully vested in the retirement plan. Before you turn in your letter of resignation, look up the exact date you will become fully vested in the plan. If it's a matter of weeks or months, sticking around until you qualify for more lucrative retirement benefits could significantly improve your retirement finances. "If you are close to an anniversary date or if you have any stock options that are about to vest, you don't want to leave right before you are about to vest and lose out on money," says Laura Barnett Lion, a certified financial planner and president of Barnett Financial in Austin, Texas.

Retiring before you set up health insurance. Medicare coverage begins at age 65. If you want to retire before then, you'll need to find alternative health insurance coverage. Some employers offer retiree health insurance plans to former employees. If your company had at least 20 employees, you can also buy back into your former employer's group health insurance plan using COBRA continuation coverage, typically for up to 18 months. Other health insurance options for early retirees include joining a spouse's health plan, purchasing individual insurance, and seeing if you qualify for state insurance pools. Some organizations you belong to or part-time jobs may also provide health insurance. "If you are younger than 65 and you are retiring from a company plan, you want to pay special attention if you have any health issues," says Christopher Rhim, a certified financial planner for Green View Advisors in Washington, D.C. and Norwich, Vt. "Know what your benefits are and compare this to any new plan under consideration." Beginning in 2014, young retirees will be able to purchase health insurance through insurance exchanges, with tax credits for those with low and moderate incomes.

Thinking your health will hold out forever. Many new retirees are healthy and energetic, but it's important to plan for a day when you may not be. Proximity to medical care becomes increasingly important as you age. You also need to think about the possibility that you might require long-term care or extra household help from caregivers or family members. It's a good idea to put your medical requests in writing, and designate someone to make medical decisions for you if you cannot.

Taking Social Security too soon. You can sign up for Social Security beginning at age 62, but that doesn't necessarily mean you should. If you elect to begin receiving payments at 62, you will receive lower monthly payments than you would if you waited until an older age. "If you are retiring before your full retirement age, which is 66 for most baby boomers, and you are planning on taking Social Security before 66 at a discount, that can have a substantial negative impact on your retirement finances," says Terry Seaton, a certified financial planner for Seaton Financial Advisors in St. Augustine, Fla. "You can wait even after 66 up to 70, and it increases each year." Monthly Social Security payouts grow for each month you delay claiming up until age 70.

Forgetting to take required minimum distributions. Withdrawals from 401(k)s and IRAs become required after age 70½. People who fail to withdraw the correct amount will face a 50 percent tax penalty in additional to the regular income tax due on the amount that should have been withdrawn.


Spending too much on travel and new hobbies. Some expenses will decrease in retirement, such as commuting costs and workplace attire. But new costs may take their place or even surpass them. Travel costs can become a huge new retirement expense, and some new hobbies might also come with significant costs. Some retirees end up spending more on entertainment simply because they now have more time for it. You may find yourself dining out more to get out of the house or connect with other people. "When you have time on your hands, most people are fairly creative in finding ways to spend money. They play more golf and they go see the grandkids more often," says Seaton. "Find out how you want to spend your time in retirement, and find out what it's going to cost you."

 
Go ahead and enjoy!

Obamacare Alert - Insurance Changes This Week ( State of Florida)

Insurance Consumer Advocate Urges Floridians To Learn About Health Insurance Reforms That Take Effect Sept. 23

Terry Butler, Interim Insurance Consumer Advocate

Many consumers have been confused about or unsure as to when many of the reforms in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) will take effect. Some of the reforms do not take effect until 2014 or even later. However, on Thursday, September 23, 2010, many very important PPACA provisions will go into effect and the Office of Insurance Consumer Advocate urges Floridians to be aware of and take advantage of the changes.
The most important changes will ensure that consumers are able to retain coverage and remain covered regardless of their circumstances. While the following provisions take effect next week, some policyholders may not be able to take advantage of all of these new provisions until policy renewal, which for many employees in group plans is in January.

The benefits that will be effective on September 23, 2010, are as follows:

Currently, most health insurance policies have provisions stating that the maximum the insurer will pay during the life of the policy is $1 million or maybe $2 million. In addition, they have a maximum the insurer will pay in any calendar year, usually around $250,000. As of this Thursday, insurers will be prohibited from limiting the amount they will pay over the lifetime of the policy. However, until 2014, plans will still be allowed to have an annual limit on coverage payments.

All health plans will be prohibited from dropping consumers from coverage just because they get sick.

Children under the age of 19 with pre-existing medical conditions will no longer be denied coverage by employer plans or new plans in the individual market because of their pre-existing condition.

New private plans will be required to cover preventative services and neither copayments nor deductibles will apply to the cost of these services.

All new plans will have to provide consumers with two levels of appeal when the plan denies payment for medical services. The first level would be a review by the plan itself. The second level would be an independent review process in which an outside group of medical experts review the claim to determine whether the plan followed its own rules in denying the claim.

Employer health plans will be prohibited from establishing any eligibility rules for health care coverage that have the effect of discrimination in favor of higher wage employees.

Health plans will be required to allow young people to remain on the parents’ health plans up to their 26th birthday, provided that they do not have access to coverage on their own plan.

Consumers will have more freedom of choice in the selection of their physicians.
Consumers should contact their insurer or their employers’ benefit administrator to obtain any additional information regarding changes to their specific policy.

As more information is available and additional changes become effective, the Office of the Insurance Consumer Advocate will generate advisories regarding their effect on consumers. More information regarding the PPACA can be found on the website of the Insurance Consumer Advocate at http://www.myfloridacfo.com/ica/federalhealthcare.asp.

The Insurance Consumer Advocate is appointed by Florida CFO Alex Sink and is committed to finding solutions to insurance issues facing Floridians, calling attention to questionable insurance practices, promoting a viable insurance market responsive to the needs of Florida’s diverse population and assuring that rates are fair and justified.

Taking Care of Parents (Forbes Magazine)

Elder Care
How To Parent Your Aging Parents

Liz Davidson, 05.18.10, 11:19 AM ET


How do you take the car keys away from a father who taught you to drive? When did he go from wise council to frail, elderly man?

Unfortunately, the What to Expect When You're Expecting book series on parenting doesn't have a volume on parenting your parents. If anyone thinks dealing with aging parents is easy, they're deluding themselves. It is often one of the most difficult challenges people face during their adult lives--and one for which they're least prepared.

The consequences of inaction, meanwhile, can be severe. Many adult children don't understand the complexity of the problem. Why would their parents resist setting up a power of attorney? Will they have to be dragged kicking and screaming to a senior facility? The answer all too often is "yes," even well after it has become painfully apparent to others that they are no longer capable of handling their own affairs.

The fact is many elderly people don't see themselves as elderly and hate being around other old people. To them, moving to a senior facility involves making a move that they feel they can never undo; they are moving in their minds from independence to dependence. Hence the kicking and screaming.


Knowing this, many parents hide trouble signs from their children. Couple such behavior with the fact that many children are themselves pressed for time and unprepared to take responsibility for their parents, and the entire situation is fraught with peril. Early on, children often ignore danger signs or delude themselves into thinking that their parents can still make good decisions.

I know an attorney whose 92-year-old mother enjoyed sending out $15 and $20 checks to play sweepstakes. Soon the mother became obsessed with winning so she could leave a large legacy to her sons. It didn't take long before a woman who had run an investment club, golfed into her eighties and taken Spanish lessons in her nineties was doing nothing but playing sweepstakes. Since her phone number was on her checks, she started receiving phone calls from scam artists and eventually was "caught" by her kids taking a cab to the bank to send $2,000 to a "nice fellow named John in Seattle" who supposedly had an even larger check waiting for her.


The cab ride became the wakeup call for the woman's family. My friend talked to his mother at length about her sweepstakes obsession and finally confiscated her checkbook, took over her bank accounts and had her mail diverted to his own home. With no sweepstakes offers arriving at his mom's house, she slowly returned to her community activities. For my friend, who'd ignored signs along the way and let the situation reach the breaking point before intervening, the solution required months of effort.


At least he'd had the power of attorney that enabled him to act and had his mother in a good assisted living facility. Imagine the difficulties when none of this is in place. Being proactive early on, rather than reactive after problems arrive, provides adult children with the tools to intervene effectively. Here are some important proactive steps to make sure you and your family are prepared:

--Establish a financial power of attorney. If your parent has concerns about losing control, consider a "springing" power that goes into effect only after the parent is unwilling, or unable, to make financial decisions alone.

--Add a durable power of attorney for health care to the estate plan. Be sure to discuss with your parent and family what medical treatment is, and is not, desired.

--Consider working with a financial advisor who specializes in multigenerational planning. This can help you balance the needs of parents for elder care, your own children for college and you for retirement. Aging parents may also be more apt to cooperate after receiving advice from an outside expert.

--Keep on hand updated lists of parents' medications. This is especially helpful in tracking drug interactions when parents use multiple doctors.

--Add a family member to your parents' safe deposit box and keep track of the key.

--Review long-term care policies and consider in advance ways to fund additional care if it becomes necessary.

--Talk with parents and siblings about the types of care that are available and when it would be wise to move. This helps prepare everyone mentally for big life changes.

It's impossible to pinpoint when any one family will have to take action on behalf of an aging parent, but it's important for grown children to keep in mind that their parents may downplay or hide signs that they're struggling to remain independent. Here are some early warning signs:

--A parent stops participating in activities and becomes isolated.

--His or her routine changes, often with a shift from cooking to eating packaged foods.

--He or she shows signs of poor judgment in managing money and becomes susceptible to fraud.

--His or her support system changes, with people who used to help having moved elsewhere or passed away.

--The parent becomes forgetful.

For many adult children, becoming a member of the sandwich generation involves taking care of elderly parents precisely at the time in their lives when they're faced with the challenges of getting their own children safely through their teenage years. To minimize the tribulations of this difficult time in life, it is critical to prepare early and have plans in place to take action if and when it becomes necessary. The alternative is to face the risk of a major family crisis right around the time you're taking the car keys from your parents and giving them to your teenager.

Liz Davidson is CEO of Financial Finesse, a provider of financial education for employers nationwide.


Things to Do Before End of the Year: Medicare Options (NY Times)

October 31, 2009
Patient Money
Now Is the Time to Weigh Medicare Options
By WALECIA KONRAD
MEDICARE recipients, it’s your turn.

For the last few weeks, my Patient Money colleague Lesley Alderman and I have been giving advice on how to navigate the open enrollment season for employee health benefits. But Medicare enrollees must also do this annual drill, and in some ways their task can be more complicated.

While employees now typically face a dwindling number of options, Medicare recipients may have the opposite problem — a potentially overwhelming welter of choices. They may need to sort through dozens, even hundreds, of choices during the annual enrollment period, which runs Nov. 15 through Dec. 31.
Those already enrolled in Medicare, of course, might not need to do anything. Assuming the coverage they have now is not changing, and it’s working for them, they can probably stand pat. That might be particularly true for the 35 million people whose main coverage comes directly through the government. In that case all they may need to worry about is their Medicare D prescription drug plans provided by private insurers, if they have such coverage; about 17.5 million of these people in traditional Medicare have the separate drug coverage.

But as I explain below, there are various reasons that staying put might not be a good idea. And making a change means coming to grips with an array of Medicare options that has been expanding at a bewildering rate in the past decade.

There is the traditional Medicare A, which covers hospitalizations and is provided at no charge to enrollees, and Medicare B, which covers fees from doctors and other health care providers and requires a monthly premium. (Because there will be no Social Security cost-of-living increase in 2010, premiums for most current B enrollees will stay the same as for 2009, at $96.40 a month. However, most new enrollees will pay 15 percent more than that, $110.50 a month.
Seniors can also choose from a vast number of specialized plans from private insurers. There’s the Medicare D drug coverage, for example. But there are also fuller private-carrier packages called Medicare Advantage, which often bundle Medicare A and B with a drug plan, along with extra benefits like dental, vision and wellness coverage.
Each annual enrollment season you can change from traditional Medicare to a Medicare Advantage plan or vice versa. You can also add, change or drop a Medicare D plan. Keep in mind if you don’t sign up for Medicare D when you are eligible and you don’t have other creditable prescription drug coverage, you will be assessed a 1 percent penalty per month if and when you do sign up. This year’s annual Medicare enrollment period may be particularly tricky for some people. Because there are so many Medicare Advantage options available, the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services — the agency that runs Medicare — eliminated about 18 percent of the Advantage plans, either because they were similar to other plans offered by the same company or they had very few members. (Even with those cuts, thousands of other Advantage plans still exist.)

As a result, an estimated 600,000 Medicare recipients must change plans this year because their former Advantage plans will no longer exist, according to data from Allsup, a provider of Social Security and Medicare consultation services based in Belleville, Ill.

If you’re new to Medicare this year you can find advice for first-time enrollees in an article I wrote recently for this newspaper: “Nearly 65? Time for the Medicare Maze.” ***see below

If you are already enrolled in Medicare, you’ll be receiving your copy of the 2010 “Medicare and You” handbook any day now. This government booklet will explain changes in this year’s enrollment period and provide information on different Medicare alternatives. Start your research by taking a close look at that publication, but do consider the following, too:

IS STANDING PAT AN OPTION? Determine if your existing plan is still available — and still right for you.

If you are a member of one of the private Medicare Advantage plans that has been eliminated, you should have received a notice from your insurer by now. If you have any doubts, call your insurer.

If you do nothing and your plan is eliminated, you will automatically be enrolled in traditional, government-provided Medicare A and B plans. But you will not be enrolled in a prescription drug plan and will have to do that separately through a private insurer during the Nov. 15-Dec. 31 enrollment period.

But even if your current plan will continue, you may also be ready to make a switch. If you’ve experienced any changes in your health or financial situation in the past year, it’s a good idea to sit down and take a close look at your existing plan. You may find your Medicare choice has out-of-pocket costs you can no longer afford.

Traditional Medicare can get expensive, with the monthly premiums, as well as a $1,000 deductible for hospitalizations and 20 percent co-payments for most doctor visits. With some Medicare Advantage plans you can lower those costs, says Paul Gada, Allsup’s personal financial planning director. (Some people also choose to buy a Medigap or supplemental policy to fill in what traditional Medicare doesn’t cover. See the recent Times article “Choosing a Policy to Cover What Medicare Doesn’t.”

On the other hand, if you’ve become sick, you may find you need more reliable and flexible coverage than your current plan provides. Most Medicare Advantage plans work on an H.M.O. or P.P.O. network system, so going to a doctor out of network can be difficult or more expensive. But almost all health care providers take plain old Medicare, says Judith Stein, founder of the Center for Medicare Advocacy, a nonprofit patients advisory group. That makes “traditional Medicare the most flexible option out there,” Ms. Stein said.

PICKING A NEW PLAN You’ll need to compare your options. That usually entails weighing prices and coverage for the Medicare Advantage plans offered in your area — to one another and to traditional Medicare.

In most cases, you’ll want to compare competing Medicare D drug plans as well. With these, you’ll want to look at price as well as which drugs are covered. Always make sure that the drugs you use will be covered by the plan you choose. Medicare D plans change the list of covered drugs from year to year, so it pays to call the insurer directly to check.

By now you’ve probably gotten an onslaught of mail from insurers that offer Medicare Advantage and Medicare D plans in your area.

“Companies are allowed to start marketing for the annual enrollment period on Oct. 1,” says Seemin Pasha, director of policy and communication at Health Assistance Partnership, a privately financed project of the Families USA consumer advocacy group. “But sifting through all these materials can be confusing.”

For help, log onto Medicare .gov. Along with lots of clear information, the site offers tools that will help you find private insurer plans in your area and help you compare prices and coverage.

You can also call or visit your State Health Insurance Assistance Program, known as SHIP, which is run by the government. Counselors provide information and help you compare plans without charge. To find the SHIP office in your state, go to www.hapnetwork.org/ship-locator. That office will refer you to the location in your county. Or call your local agency on aging and ask for a SHIP location near you.

For-profit companies like Allsup, for a fee, will help clients navigate the system and enroll in the plan of their choice. At Allsup, a range of services is available for about $200.

DON’T DELAY Try to sign up for your new coverage by early December, especially if you are choosing a plan with a private insurer.

Because the annual enrollment period ends Dec. 31 and coverage starts Jan. 1, late enrollees could experience some snags in the paperwork. Sign up early and you’re more likely to get on the books and get your insurance cards well before the new year starts.

Keep in mind if you do make a mistake or change your mind, the government allows some limited changes during what it calls open enrollment, from Jan. 1 through March 31. During this period you can switch from one Advantage plan to another or switch from an Advantage plan to traditional Medicare and vice versa.

What you can’t do, however, is join or switch a Medicare D plan, unless you already have a plan with prescription drug coverage, according to Medicare.gov. You also may not drop Medicare D coverage during this time.

***
October 15, 2009
Patient Money
Nearly 65? Time for the Medicare Maze
By WALECIA KONRAD
NOW that you’re about to retire, there’s good news and bad news about your health insurance. The good news: When you turn 65, you’re eligible for Medicare — all in all, a pretty affordable way to get coverage for doctor bills, hospitalizations and, more recently, prescription drugs. The bad news: You’ve got a big job ahead of you, sorting through the Medicare bureaucracy.

For someone new to the system, the hundreds of options Medicare provides can be daunting. “We’ve seen C.P.A.’s get stymied,” said Paul Gada, personal financial planning director at Allsup, a provider of Social Security and Medicare consultation services that is based in Belleville, Ill. “The process can be difficult for even the most savvy individuals.”

More important, the choices you make now as a new retiree may have consequences down the line when your health care and financial needs change. Confusing as Medicare may be, it is better to learn the ins and outs of the system early than to try to figure it out 20 years from now. The newly eligible have a seven-month period to enroll, starting three months before their 65th birthday. And numerous resources are available to help both newcomers and veteran Medicare users.

Not long ago, retirees simply went to their local Social Security office and signed up for Medicare A, which covers hospitalization, skilled nursing facilities, hospice and some home health care. Then they signed up for Medicare B, which provides coverage for doctor’s fees for a premium ($96.40 a month in 2009). That was the end of it.
Big changes in the way Medicare is distributed have made signing up a lot more complicated. In addition to A and B, enrollees can now buy prescription drug coverage under Medicare D. Dozens of private insurance plans offer Medicare D coverage, and the plans can differ widely in both premium costs and the drugs they cover.

The government also allowed private insurers to offer Medicare Advantage plans, which combine A, B and D benefits, often under a network like an H.M.O. or P.P.O. Many offer extras like dental, vision and wellness coverage. Hundreds of different Medicare Advantage plans are sold today, and depending on where you live, you could have dozens of choices.

Options may decrease slightly in 2010, said Marc Steinberg , deputy director for health policy at the health care advocacy group Families USA, because the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the federal agency that administers Medicare, has vowed to consolidate similar plans from the same insurers to help reduce confusion.

In addition, many insurers may decide not to offer Advantage plans if the government subsidies given to these plans are cut, as many of the current health care bills have proposed. Finally, because Medicare deductibles and co-pays are high — a $1,000 deductible for hospitalizations, 20 percent co-pays for most doctor visits — many people elect to buy a Medigap, or supplemental, policy to fill in what Medicare does not cover.

With traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage, it’s sometimes hard to get a handle on exactly what is covered. Physical therapy, for instance, is covered under traditional Medicare only if your doctor prescribes it and then only for a limited time. Traditional Medicare with a Part D and Medigap plan offers the most flexibility, said Judith Stein, founder of the Center for Medicare Advocacy. Because most health care providers throughout the country accept Medicare, there’s usually no need to change doctors when you join the system. “In addition, you have access to whatever specialists you’ll need, and you’re covered no matter where you are in the country,” she said.

Most Medicare Advantage plans, however, work on a network system, so going to a doctor out of network can be difficult or more expensive. And, because of the extra coverage, Medicare Advantage premiums are often higher than those for traditional Medicare, or coverage is restricted in other ways, like low limits on lifetime coverage, Ms. Stein said.
On the other hand, Mr. Gada said that a good Medicare Advantage plan could make the process of enrolling much easier. “It’s one-stop shopping for Medicare’s alphabet soup of plans,” he said. And for some people, the extra dental and vision benefits are extremely important, he added.

For help finding and comparing Medicare Advantage and Medicare D plans offered by private insurers, go to the government-run Web site www.medicare.gov. The site has clear and useful information and offers a tool that will help you compare costs and coverage among the various plans offered in your region.

But the tool is far from comprehensive, so you’ll probably still have questions, both about the system and what’s best for your needs. To get free answers, try your State Health Insurance Assistance Program, known as SHIP. Counselors provide information about traditional Medicare, help you find D and Advantage plans that fit your needs, and help you compare plan costs. To find the SHIP office in your state, go to www.hapnetwork.org/ship-locator. That office will refer you to the location in your county. Or call your local agency on aging and ask for a SHIP location near you.

For-profit companies like Allsup will, for a fee, help clients navigate the system, help them enroll and often offer customized advice on related health and financial matters like long-term care insurance. A range of services is available for about $200.

Medicare recipients can change plans each year during the open enrollment period, Nov. 15 through Dec. 31. So if you end up with a Part D or Medicare Advantage plan you do not like, or if your health or financial picture changes, you can take action at that time.

BUT there are some moves you may make now that will have financial consequences later. If you opt for traditional Medicare, for example, but do not sign up for Medicare B (perhaps to avoid paying the premiums) and you do not have qualified alternative insurance like retirement benefits from your employer, you will pay a financial penalty if you enroll down the line — 10 percent for each year you do not have coverage. Many Medigap plans also charge higher premiums or exclude pre-existing conditions if applicants do not sign up when they first become eligible for Medicare enrollment.

All Medicare D prescription drug plans include the dreaded doughnut hole. You fall into it when your total annual drug costs hit a certain amount — $2,830 for 2010 — and you then must pay the next $3,610 out of your own pocket. After you have paid that amount, the insurer will pick up all but 5 percent of the prescriptions it covers; you pay the balance.

To make sure you are not hit with any further surprises, always check to see if the plan you choose covers the drugs you currently need. You can check on Medicare.gov, but it’s also worth calling the insurer directly. “Insurance companies change their list of approved drugs all the time, so it pays to make sure you’re covered, especially if you take certain medicines regularly,” said Seemin Pasha, director of policy and communication at Health Assistance Partnership, the privately financed project of Families USA.

And always check the list of approved pharmacies, Mr. Steinberg advises. “This isn’t such a problem in big cities, but in some rural areas, we’ve seen cases where the only pharmacy is 20 minutes away and it’s not on the approved list.”

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: October 17, 2009
An article on Thursday about sorting through Medicare options described incorrectly the Health Assistance Partnership, an advisory service for the public. It is a privately financed project of Families USA; it is not government-run. The article also referred incorrectly to a fee that Allsup Medicare Advisor charges to help clients navigate the Medicare system. The $200 charge covers a range of services, not a single session. And an accompanying picture caption misstated Paul Gada’s role with Allsup. He is the company’s personal financial planning director, not a financial consultant.

Investing in Trends - from Smartmoney.com

SmartMoney
Published March 25, 2009
Screens by Jack Hough

7 Stocks for 10-Year Holders

Stock screening software is handy for sorting cheap shares from pricey ones and determining which are recently rising. But it can’t tell which companies are neatly aligned with long-term societal trends. That means a search for stocks to hold for the next 10 years strays necessarily from the comfort of cold calculus to the gray of human judgment.

Still, I hope you’ll find the following points noncontroversial. For each, the computer has helped find some promising stocks—modestly priced ones attached to prosperous companies.

1. We’re getting old.

About 13% of Americans are 65 or older. By 2030, more than 20% will be, reckons the Census Bureau. The old spend less than the middle-aged on lots of things, but healthcare isn’t one of them. Four in five seniors have a chronic health condition like high blood pressure and diabetes, and half have two or more such conditions. Pills and prescription plans seem like good bets, but a greater role for government in coming years might crimp the profitability of either or both.

Companies that put paper medical records on computer networks, thereby saving money and improving results, seem more assured of growth. San Francisco-based McKesson (MCK1) is North America’s largest drug distributor and a leading provider of information technology to hospitals, insurers and government health-care agencies. Its sales are growing nicely through the current recession, and its shares fetch less than nine times forecast earnings for the company’s fiscal year ending March 31.

2. We’re still fat.

Beyond fat, really: The obese, at 34% of the population, now outnumber the merely overweight, at 33%, according to the National Center for Health Statistics. I suppose that favors purchases of plenty of ordinary things in larger sizes, like pants and airplane seats, but the companies mostly likely to gain from these — Wal-Mart (WMT2) and BE Aerospace (BEAV3) — are more affected by other trends. Kinetic Concepts (KCI4), based in San Antonio, makes vacuum-assisted systems for healing difficult wounds, like skin ulcers associated with diabetes, which is itself associated with obesity. It also makes specialty hospital beds, including ones that accommodate oversized patients.

Optimists might prefer to invest in diet plans and exercise. Companies that offer both are cheap right now; shares of gym chain Life Time Fitness (LTM5) and diet programs Weight Watchers (WTW6) and NutriSystem (NTRI7) trade at 8 to 9 times earnings. Weight Watchers is the best diet plan, according to ConsumerSearch.com, which amalgamated opinions from a variety of sources, including Consumer Reports and The Journal of the American Medical Association. With budgets tight, sales for Weight Watchers are seen declining 9% this year, and those for NutriSystem are seen falling 14%. Life Time is growing sales, mostly because it is opening new clubs, not expanding sales at longstanding ones. NutriSystem, unlike the others, is debt-free, and it offers the plumpest dividend yield: 5.3%.

3. A house bubble has popped, but has left plenty of houses.

Prices are down 27% from their mid-2006 peak, according to S&P’s Case/Shiller index, last reported in February for December. But houses built during the frothy years — from 2000 to 2007 the number of housing units swelled 10% while the population increased less than 7% — remain. Not all are cared for; a record one in nine are vacant. Assuming prices will eventually find a level where buyers will move in, our huge housing stock will need plenty of paint and lawn care in years to come. Sherwin-Williams (SHW8) leads the nation in paint sales, makes most of its money from touch-ups on existing houses, and has increased its dividend each year since 1979. Current yield: 3.2%. Shares are 14 times earnings. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG9), true to its name, is increasing sales in what seems like an unlikely setting. Shares sell for just under 15 times earnings, but those earnings are expected to grow by double-digit percentages this year and next. The dividend yield seems in need of a spritz or two of growth spray, at just 1.5%.

Screen Survivors Company Ticker Price P/E Yield
McKesson MCK10 36.27 9 1.4
Kinetic Concepts KCI11 19.78 6 n/a
Lifetime Fitness LTM12 11.28 7 n/a
NutriSystem NTRI13 14.14 9 5.3
Weight Watchers WTW14 19.35 8 3.7
Sherwin-Williams SHW15 50.2 14 3.2
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company SMG16 33.97 15 1.5


1http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/MCK/
2http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/WMT/
3http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/BEAV/
4http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/KCI/
5http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/LTM/
6http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/WTW/
7http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/NTRI/
8http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/SHW/
9http://www.smartmoney.com/quote/SMG/
10http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=MCK
11http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=KCI
12http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=LTM
13http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=NTRI
14http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=WTW
15http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=SHW
16http://www.smartmoney.com/cfscripts/director.cfm?searchstring=SMG

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